Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 9.786294 11.211039 12.727981 14.458647 16.373651 18.422977 20.776982
2025-02-16 7.228920 9.086801 11.209279 13.794723 16.839282 20.290460 24.477223
2025-02-23 5.411685 7.439276 9.915298 13.118135 17.104582 21.854410 27.888605
2025-03-02 4.196739 6.286335 9.003479 12.716859 17.572622 23.614551 31.597600
2025-03-09 3.398586 5.519327 8.441930 12.638854 18.370334 25.773042 35.884104
2025-03-16 2.738230 4.817550 7.849845 12.413946 18.903300 27.574909 39.777104
2025-03-23 2.432652 4.581772 7.867971 13.008537 20.558246 30.921873 45.847724
2025-03-30 2.074136 4.194829 7.599650 13.136783 21.534357 33.368912 50.799948
2025-04-06 1.663471 3.641447 6.991144 12.670012 21.578482 34.479902 53.924248
2025-04-13 1.316629 3.129995 6.373249 12.105436 21.401189 35.223664 56.519887
2025-04-20 1.191250 3.012873 6.405015 12.584044 22.844755 38.388744 62.708223
2025-04-27 1.154370 3.066030 6.739689 13.588687 25.168781 42.959366 71.115828
2025-05-04 1.060370 2.989184 6.838775 14.216071 26.955927 46.850317 78.757822
2025-05-11 0.910075 2.758238 6.617995 14.258734 27.782315 49.301683 84.344528
2025-05-18 0.749375 2.465262 6.234145 13.964037 28.012692 50.820014 88.561822
2025-05-25 0.624030 2.227061 5.925455 13.772131 28.393632 52.578644 93.199564
2025-06-01 0.536997 2.066274 5.755514 13.822866 29.189679 55.024906 98.979260
2025-06-08 0.448519 1.876161 5.491756 13.657995 29.578854 56.806109 103.752626
2025-06-15 0.422954 1.868002 5.643328 14.346113 31.560872 61.313591 113.038976
2025-06-22 0.371117 1.762357 5.548919 14.511899 32.575120 64.218446 119.809705
2025-06-29 0.295773 1.551903 5.164567 14.021322 32.311500 64.918356 122.980781
2025-07-06 0.229433 1.344923 4.750656 13.417109 31.777542 65.109078 125.291960
2025-07-13 0.213267 1.327074 4.836637 13.941897 33.486941 69.298871 134.417245